Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024114 0.026575 0.029021 0.031630 0.034326 0.037027 0.039932
2025-01-26 0.019880 0.023854 0.027926 0.032383 0.037096 0.041913 0.047186
2025-02-02 0.016535 0.021456 0.026637 0.032427 0.038660 0.045120 0.052278
2025-02-09 0.013390 0.018888 0.024835 0.031616 0.039032 0.046812 0.055520
2025-02-16 0.011513 0.017510 0.024152 0.031851 0.040371 0.049392 0.059562
2025-02-23 0.009750 0.016090 0.023287 0.031762 0.041249 0.051376 0.062865
2025-03-02 0.008124 0.014682 0.022325 0.031470 0.041816 0.052947 0.065649
2025-03-09 0.006800 0.013521 0.021564 0.031331 0.042492 0.054579 0.068443
2025-03-16 0.005351 0.012062 0.020360 0.030611 0.042454 0.055374 0.070273
2025-03-23 0.004467 0.011260 0.019893 0.030704 0.043295 0.057107 0.073095
2025-03-30 0.003472 0.010190 0.019031 0.030283 0.043512 0.058111 0.075083
2025-04-06 0.002487 0.008992 0.017939 0.029537 0.043314 0.058617 0.076489
2025-04-13 0.001328 0.007340 0.016272 0.028182 0.042546 0.058645 0.077564
2025-04-20 0.000945 0.006964 0.016312 0.028955 0.044311 0.061596 0.081965
2025-04-27 0.000481 0.006226 0.015798 0.029006 0.045203 0.063537 0.085223
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.005128 0.014677 0.028232 0.045074 0.064279 0.087104
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004616 0.014361 0.028457 0.046114 0.066339 0.090445
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004005 0.013833 0.028372 0.046756 0.067918 0.093222
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003364 0.013185 0.028092 0.047134 0.069171 0.095609
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002841 0.012670 0.027960 0.047671 0.070590 0.098165
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002162 0.011776 0.027272 0.047496 0.071156 0.099732
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001825 0.011463 0.027360 0.048266 0.072816 0.102532
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001367 0.010821 0.026959 0.048406 0.073719 0.104451